Cultivated-Highlight
0xa44c9f77f26279997f4532699aa16165d6b7c458
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$100.94
Total PnL
$1.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
56 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$55.83
$0.73
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?
42 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$42.00
$19.32
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
3 shares @ 93.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.11
$0.21
- YES
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?
21 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.54
- YES
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-12-15?
10 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.40
- NO
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-27?
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-12-15?$3.40Dec 15, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$55.10Dec 15, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.87Dec 15, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Essono Tsimi win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$2.22Dec 15, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$2.38Dec 15, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$3.21Dec 15, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Branko Marinković win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$3.31Dec 15, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$3.31Dec 15, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?$3.81Dec 15, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$5.04Dec 15, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill PAOK win on 2025-11-27?$6.00Dec 15, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Justin Bieber be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$6.31Dec 15, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$6.72Dec 15, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$10.96Dec 15, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PAOK win on 2025-11-27?$2.16Nov 27, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lille OSC win on 2025-11-27?$2.16Nov 27, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$10.95Oct 27, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$6.30Sep 30, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$6.70Sep 30, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMPartyDAO airdrop in Q2 2025?$1.20Sep 30, 13:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $6.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 13:33 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 15:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.