Wasteful-Towel
0xa44d3a8a6ce810a32029bbeafd6d9530d94f79c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$3.83
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$96.33
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
30 shares @ 15.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.08
$-2.42
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.75
$-66.25
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 30 2025 or later?
12000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-13.92
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
2303 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-46.06
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
1640 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-78.32
- YES
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?
1591 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-72.27
- YES
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?
1275 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-63.20
- YES
Pump.fun all time high by December 31?
984 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-104.38
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
915 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-113.20
- YES
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
799 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-90.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$4.00Jan 27, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$68.25Jan 27, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$45.41Jan 21, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$0.27Jan 21, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$0.27Jan 21, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$2.05Jan 21, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?$27.01Jan 5, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$8.30Jan 2, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$14.70Jan 2, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$0.60Jan 1, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$0.32Jan 1, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum all time high by December 31?$22.78Jan 1, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.64Dec 31, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$0.36Dec 26, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$0.39Dec 26, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.03Dec 25, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.92Dec 25, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.36Dec 25, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.36Dec 25, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$0.16Dec 25, 15:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 07:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 03:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".