Bright-Ascent
0xa44d485d5149787ea451fbebf40978205ba4bd1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
190
Open notional
$6.48
Total PnL
$-193.89
Realised
$20.34
Win rate
60%
57 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 190- YES
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
7 shares @ 62.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.00
$-0.07
- NO
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.24
$-0.85
- YES
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?
6 shares @ 37.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.20
$-0.97
- YES
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.04
$-0.16
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 23, 2026 (ET)?
1846 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.04
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 30, 2026 (ET)?
551 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 24, 2026 (ET)?
475 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.93
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?
347 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.74
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 15, 2026 (ET)?
320 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.73
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)?
313 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on April 3?$0.01Apr 1, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 2?$0.05Apr 1, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on April 2?$0.03Apr 1, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana all time high by June 30, 2026?$0.20Apr 1, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 2?$0.09Apr 1, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 2?$0.11Apr 1, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 2?$0.20Apr 1, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$0.01Apr 1, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$0.00Apr 1, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$0.15Apr 1, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$0.15Apr 1, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$0.15Apr 1, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$0.00Apr 1, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$0.10Apr 1, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$0.05Apr 1, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$0.08Apr 1, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 23?$0.01Mar 22, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 23?$0.01Mar 22, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ronald Antonio Unzueta win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?$0.03Mar 22, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.07Mar 22, 07:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 00:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 20:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 57 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".