Alienated-Program
0xa44e8ab33a4503d331d1931ee26c2b1abec6268c
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
198
Open notional
$41.30
Total PnL
$-324.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 198- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$3.83
$2.83
- YES
Will Goiás EC vs. SC Recife end in a draw?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$3.33
$2.33
- YES
Will Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$3.22
$2.22
- YES
Will Nashville SC vs. CF Montréal end in a draw?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.74
$0.74
- YES
Will CS Cristal vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.48
$0.48
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
9 shares @ 46.8¢·now 13.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.12
$-2.88
- YES
Will Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?$1.04Jul 23, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw?$1.04Jul 23, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?$1.04Jul 23, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?$1.04Jul 23, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother pandemic before GTA VI?$4.88Jul 23, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Spartak Trnava vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia end in a draw?$3.33Jul 22, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje end in a draw?$3.70Jul 22, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rams Başakşehir FK vs. FC Inter Turku end in a draw?$7.69Jul 22, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sydney United 58 FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?$3.45Jul 22, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gwangju FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?$3.70Jul 22, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Panevėžys vs. Tobyl FK end in a draw?$1.04Jul 22, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj end in a draw?$1.03Jul 22, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Liepāja vs. FK Austria Wien end in a draw?$1.04Jul 22, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?$1.04Jul 22, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?$1.04Jul 22, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?$1.04Jul 22, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CS Cristal vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?$1.04Jul 22, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Lanús vs. CS Cienciano end in a draw?$1.04Jul 22, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houston Dynamo vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?$1.04Jul 22, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?$1.03Jul 22, 14:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 12:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.