Tired-Greed
0xa45829d760f1aff20fd6efa1499f67fbf8cc55e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$12.49
Total PnL
$-24.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- NO
Will BNB reach $1400 in November?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Kanye visit Israel by December 31?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1 shares @ 92.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1
1 shares @ 93.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his victory/concession speech?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by <26%?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.03
$0.03
- LEKO
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Kirill Alekseenko vs Peter Leko (Advances)
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 18, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.00Jan 12, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Dec 4, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.97Nov 11, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Nov 11, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 11, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$1.00Nov 11, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Nov 11, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1$1.00Nov 9, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?$1.00Nov 9, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the California redistricting referendum pass by <26%?$1.00Nov 7, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLFIDE World Cup 2025 - Shamsiddin Vokhidov vs Arjun Erigaisi (Advances)$4.77Nov 7, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFIDE World Cup 2025 - Kirill Alekseenko vs Peter Leko (Advances)$1.00Nov 7, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFIDE World Cup 2025 - Shamsiddin Vokhidov vs Arjun Erigaisi (Advances)$1.00Nov 7, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye visit Israel by December 31?$1.00Nov 7, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?$1.56Nov 7, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?$1.00Nov 4, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?$1.00Nov 4, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his victory/concession speech?$1.00Nov 4, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo say "Democracy" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?$1.00Nov 4, 12:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 06:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 07:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".