Confused-Niece
0xa45c229e0ed5101b30d34a96f560ee52bad603a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$7.41
Total PnL
$-16.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
160 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.80
$0.08
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
160 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.84
$-0.88
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 12.8¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.60
$-0.19
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.17
$-0.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
5700 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.9K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
4500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
4480 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
2600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
2600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2580 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.20Mar 30, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.72Mar 30, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.72Mar 30, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.79Mar 30, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$1.01Mar 30, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?$1.03Mar 30, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$1.00Feb 6, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?$1.00Feb 6, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 14? $1.00Feb 6, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?$1.01Feb 6, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMBikinis back on X by January 16?$1.01Feb 6, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 462 Million subscribers by January 31?$1.01Feb 6, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMGrok 4.20 released by January 15?$1.01Feb 6, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Machado by January 16?$1.02Feb 6, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.08Feb 6, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 20 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$2.01Feb 6, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$2.02Feb 6, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$2.06Feb 6, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$2.09Feb 6, 02:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $156.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 02:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".