Modern-Diarist
0xa45f2f4635b06e87ae28ce44231063819bdc65fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$6.06
Total PnL
$0.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$2.50
$0.00
- NO
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.31
$0.01
- NO
Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.25
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.25Oct 23, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.30Oct 23, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$2.50Oct 23, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMystery drones shot down by Friday?$0.16Dec 18, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeissner effect confirmed near room temperature?$0.16Dec 18, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUY70°F in NYC in December?$0.15Dec 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Sonic 3' gross less than $56m on 3-day opening weekend?$0.12Dec 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gustavo Jalkh win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?$0.12Dec 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake in December?$0.13Dec 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another person be the next President of Croatia?$0.12Dec 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.0KDec 17, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.0KDec 17, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?$0.14Dec 17, 05:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.0KDec 17, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Sonic 3' gross less than $56m on 3-day opening weekend?$0.12Dec 17, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.0KDec 17, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYAvalanche vs. Canucks$0.15Dec 17, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Jalkh win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?$0.12Dec 17, 05:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 05:21 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 23, 16:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".