Intelligent-Vinyl
0xa46938a688ca7bda57961c22fc32d603205ae734
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$24.47
Total PnL
$3.07
Realised
$-0.30
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- UNDER
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5
15 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$14.58
$7.58
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
10 shares @ 60.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$9.89
$3.89
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
10 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- OVER
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DANIEL RODRIGUEZ
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)$2.08Jul 29, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5$2.05Jun 10, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5$7.11May 27, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays$6.07May 17, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$4.10Mar 25, 14:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $4.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 14:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 16:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.