Capital-Rhythm
0xa469d26da1af538b30cdd5966477b6c48d191eb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$32.00
Win rate
83%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
700 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
600 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
450 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-21.39
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
400 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
400 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-63.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
400 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-39.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
365 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
350 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-28.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
300 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-25.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
300 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Jul 20, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$0.19Jul 20, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$0.15Jul 20, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$0.15Jul 20, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$1.32Jul 20, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.62Jul 20, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.50Jul 20, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$0.47Jul 20, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$0.05Jul 20, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$0.05Jul 20, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$0.10Jul 20, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$1.22Jul 20, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$0.66Jul 20, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$0.22Jul 20, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$0.11Jul 20, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.84Jul 20, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.20Jul 20, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$0.56Jul 20, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$0.90Jul 20, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$0.90Jul 20, 20:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 19:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 21:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.