Fantastic-Thermostat
0xa46b38f6226c72eea7b6c2b5eee81c6d0c77ba65
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-986.45
Realised
$48.02
Win rate
88%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
700 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
101 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.43
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
51 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
49 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
45 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
43 shares @ 81.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
42 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.04Jul 21, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$0.96Jul 21, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$3.10Jul 21, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$2.88Jul 21, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$2.05Jul 21, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$2.39Jul 21, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$2.02Jul 21, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.89Jul 21, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.04Jul 21, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$0.68Jul 21, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$3.15Jul 21, 21:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.87Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$4.20Jul 6, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$4.97Jul 6, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$4.14Jul 6, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$2.01Jul 6, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$9.37Jul 6, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$10.26Jul 6, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$9.27Jul 6, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$10.21Jul 6, 16:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 12:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 21:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.