Optimistic-Dividend
0xa46d2764e97fee4022d1d4a11d244a869fd059c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
166
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 166- YES
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
434 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?
309 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UNDER
Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 229.5
219 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-98.35
- OVER
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5
179 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-98.64
- OVER
Egypt vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
178 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-99.94
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
169 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-37.11
- MAGIC
Magic vs. 76ers
160 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-76.78
- UNDER
Suns vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
158 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-76.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5$20.29May 10, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5$99.99Apr 18, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5$50.26Apr 18, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?$69.00Apr 18, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLHornets vs. Magic: O/U 217.5$99.29Apr 18, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Magic: O/U 217.5$50.91Apr 17, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMAston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5$139.91Apr 17, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYAston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5$80.79Apr 16, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. 76ers$78.00Apr 15, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLFC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5$108.08Apr 15, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5$70.00Apr 15, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$38.00Apr 15, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLHeat vs. Hornets$120.25Apr 15, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?$179.18Apr 14, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?$100.00Apr 14, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Hornets$50.00Apr 13, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLevante UD vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5$58.00Apr 13, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLNuggets vs. Spurs$107.73Apr 13, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5$30.00Apr 12, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Spurs$21.00Apr 12, 22:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $72.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 19:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 19:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".