0xa46ff5c9ab261a8bff42e6c850f9b1efbfced550
0xa46ff5c9ab261a8bff42e6c850f9b1efbfced550
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-290.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
1429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?
1111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 13, 2026?
814 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
313 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
313 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Israel strike 3 countries in January 2026?
211 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$100.00Apr 12, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 13, 2026?$20.00Apr 12, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$50.00Feb 4, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 3 countries in January 2026?$50.00Jan 14, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$50.00Jan 12, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?$20.00Jan 9, 14:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $48.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 14:13 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 15:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.