Paltry-Keyboard
0xa47247c4c04a3c9636fb59876e8e68f495662c3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$11.67
Total PnL
$-183.68
Realised
$22.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.67
$-8.33
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
340 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
105 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?
71 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$20.00Jun 7, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$23.81Jun 7, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 14, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by March 31?$5.00Mar 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by March 31?$5.00Mar 13, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by March 31?$5.00Mar 13, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 13, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$5.00Mar 11, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$10.00Mar 11, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$5.00Mar 8, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$5.00Mar 6, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump cut off trade with Spain?$10.00Mar 4, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$5.00Mar 4, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by March 31?$5.00Mar 4, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?$5.00Mar 4, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?$6.00Mar 4, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?$67.75Mar 4, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?$10.00Feb 28, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$5.00Feb 28, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$19.23Feb 28, 22:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $9.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 19:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 22:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.