Expensive-Soup
0xa4731b34cde746d0882467ccb5d5bf421e7c736e
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-191.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US strike Mexico next?
3178 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US strike another country first?
2966 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
81 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
51 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
45 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
31 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-21.02
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
30 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?$21.02Feb 20, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?$20.00Feb 20, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$30.00Feb 20, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$30.00Feb 20, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike another country first?$5.00Feb 19, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Mexico next?$10.00Feb 19, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$10.00Feb 19, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?$30.00Feb 19, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$35.00Feb 19, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLSeahawks vs. Patriots$145.82Feb 9, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$99.26Feb 8, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$19.63Jan 19, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$2.60Jan 19, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New England face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?$31.19Jan 19, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New England face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?$55.00Jan 19, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$5.00Jan 19, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$20.00Jan 19, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLRams vs. Bears$135.21Jan 19, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRams vs. Bears$99.94Jan 18, 23:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $42.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 23:36 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 02:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.