Spectacular-Ottoman
0xa4766f11993575b6f99cef371b43ab6aa5dd0ccd
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$5.62
Total PnL
$-1.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrevvy vs. Oblivion$2.00Mar 14, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$5.00Jan 10, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $200 on November 15?$1.47Jan 10, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $200 on November 15?$1.00Nov 10, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$1.02Nov 10, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMTitans vs. Lions$1.16Nov 10, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine strike on Moscow before November?$1.25Nov 10, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?$1.25Nov 10, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTitans vs. Lions$1.00Oct 26, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$1.00Oct 16, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Milton make landfall as a category 5?$0.00Oct 16, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?$1.00Oct 11, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Milton make landfall as a category 5?$1.00Oct 9, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine strike on Moscow before November?$1.00Oct 7, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$6.75Oct 7, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$9.00Oct 7, 16:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $2.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 16:37 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 20:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.