Taut-Expedition
0xa47cb2e008d89ff9fd7638a3391c09c8617e0944
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$28.76
Total PnL
$-155.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.13
$3.13
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.38
$1.38
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.08
$-6.92
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.69
$-3.31
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.04
$-0.96
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.76
$-9.24
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS downs another Iranian drone by February 28?$4.00Mar 11, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?$7.14Feb 28, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by February 13, 2026?$8.00Feb 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS downs another Iranian drone by February 28?$1.00Feb 9, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.00Feb 9, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?$5.00Feb 9, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$1.00Feb 9, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 9, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$2.00Feb 9, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?$2.00Feb 9, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMNets vs. Magic$6.17Feb 6, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$0.00Feb 6, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$5.00Feb 6, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$5.00Feb 6, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$5.00Feb 6, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNets vs. Magic$5.00Feb 6, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$7.74Feb 4, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMGeorge Washington Revolutionaries vs. George Mason Patriots$1.28Feb 4, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS bank failure by January 31?$62.50Feb 4, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeorge Washington Revolutionaries vs. George Mason Patriots$1.00Jan 20, 00:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 18:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 14:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".