Vain-Routine
0xa4852de2be2e59c8635fbc520ba22ac14baa9b3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$7.58
Total PnL
$-120.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
8 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$7.58
$0.91
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 16m?
1176 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?
837 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
264 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3m?
185 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
156 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 29?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$2.18Feb 6, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$10.00Feb 6, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.80Feb 6, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3m?$20.00Jan 29, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 29?$10.00Jan 28, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$10.00Jan 28, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?$29.41Jan 25, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)$10.00Jan 25, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?$14.09Jan 25, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Jan 23, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Jan 23, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill India join the Board of Peace?$11.65Jan 23, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$12.43Jan 23, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?$10.00Jan 23, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?$10.00Jan 23, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?$9.69Jan 23, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?$6.06Jan 22, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?$8.05Jan 22, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.67Jan 22, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India join the Board of Peace?$10.00Jan 22, 14:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $10.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 15:12 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 12:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.