Drafty-Tart
0xa48690b2dc20a23de5fe85f981c9f949cd7b33cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
107
Open notional
$17.47
Total PnL
$-408.79
Realised
$-0.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
211 shares @ 3.8¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.21
$2.21
- YES
Will CryptoPunks floor price dip to 10 ETH before 2027?
54 shares @ 18.4¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.78
$-3.22
- YES
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?
97 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.49
$-4.51
- YES
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out in 2025?
3138 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 18?
2219 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 5?
537 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-7.81
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 28?
529 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $6.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 00:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.