0xa4956a2ef1a813acf7df735e83bfd78cbd6bbd61
0xa4956a2ef1a813acf7df735e83bfd78cbd6bbd61
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$272.62
Total PnL
$5.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
50 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$50.00
$1.50
- NO
Government shutdown on Saturday?
30 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$30.00
$0.69
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
30 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.00
$1.20
- NO
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?
24 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$24.48
$0.06
- NO
Will the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025?
24 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$24.48
$0.04
- NO
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
24 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$24.48
$0.07
- NO
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
23 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$22.94
$0.14
- NO
Will the U.S. collect more than $2t in revenue in 2025?
17 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$16.54
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?
8 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$7.94
$0.36
- NO
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?
8 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$7.94
$0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$28.80Feb 14, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$48.50Feb 14, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.21Feb 14, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.04Feb 14, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$29.31Feb 14, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$4.25Feb 12, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$4.60Feb 12, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?$0.93Feb 12, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?$5.99Feb 12, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?$1.01Feb 12, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025?$7.93Feb 12, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?$7.58Feb 12, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?$7.69Feb 12, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?$7.75Feb 12, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?$7.79Feb 12, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$7.89Feb 12, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$7.93Feb 12, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$7.92Feb 12, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$16.47Feb 12, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?$16.49Feb 12, 04:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $11.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 04:37 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 17:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.