Oblong-Testing
0xa4970df4d62b4293303e17558f405d1af5fc7cfa
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-552.28
Realised
$-156.07
Win rate
7%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 23?
202 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 29?
196 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.55
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 13?
179 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-48.44
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on January 26?
126 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.64
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 23?
123 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 29?
123 shares @ 97.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-119.78
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 30?
118 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.48
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 16?
106 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on March 15?
91 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.28
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 30?
87 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.51
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 9?$33.64Jul 9, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 9?$30.95Jul 8, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 4?$1.59Jul 3, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 4?$27.44Jun 4, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 4?$25.38Jun 3, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 30?$2.04May 30, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$2.16May 28, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 25?$8.73May 25, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 25?$7.88May 24, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 23?$2.16May 23, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 20?$1.17May 19, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 17?$31.66May 17, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 17?$1.87May 16, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 17?$27.25May 16, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 16?$1.82May 15, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 9?$31.47May 9, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 9?$29.27May 8, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of April 13 2026?$34.00Apr 25, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of April 13 2026?$3.00Apr 16, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 23?$0.00Apr 13, 15:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $15.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 09:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 16:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.