Alarmed-Bias
0xa49c74684304bfc8adff2d7b143ef17be1d16416
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$1.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?
11246 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-938.21
- YES
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1677 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-93.80
- YES
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?
588 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-6.63
- YES
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?
553 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-2.21
- MAVERICKS
Mavericks vs. Thunder
419 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-50.24
- YES
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31?
112 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $500M one day after launch?$10.08Mar 29, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $500M one day after launch?$37.05Mar 29, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $500M one day after launch?$132.70Mar 29, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $300M one day after launch?$93.80Mar 29, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.68Mar 29, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $500M one day after launch?$24.71Mar 29, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $800M one day after launch?$2.21Mar 29, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBased FDV above $200M one day after launch?$2.1KFeb 6, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Happy New Year" this week? (December 29 - January 4)$1.1KJan 4, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.4KJan 4, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Happy New Year" this week? (December 29 - January 4)$1.1KJan 4, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $500M one day after launch?$583.71Dec 28, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $500M one day after launch?$150.00Dec 28, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?$211.20Dec 16, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$0.00Dec 11, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Thunder$50.24Dec 5, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBased FDV above $800M one day after launch?$51.27Dec 5, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?$0.00Dec 1, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$73.86Nov 28, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $800M one day after launch?$49.50Nov 27, 19:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $314.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 13:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.