Scented-Vector
0xa49e1044bb61b0021938c62ccf0e33779deb351c
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.18
Total PnL
$-20.96
Realised
$1.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of July 13 2026?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$1.04
$-0.46
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on July 15?
4 shares @ 36.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.14
$-1.36
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,110 Week of June 22 2026?
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of June 22 2026?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $148 Week of June 29 2026?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- OVER
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of July 6 2026?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on July 14?$1.50Jul 14, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of July 13 2026?$2.45Jul 14, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on July 14?$1.52Jul 14, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$2.27Jul 13, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$2.00Jul 13, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.35B?$0.61Jul 13, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of July 13 2026?$1.92Jul 13, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of July 13 2026?$2.03Jul 13, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 13?$1.56Jul 13, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of July 13 2026?$1.56Jul 13, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 13?$1.51Jul 13, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of July 13 2026?$1.52Jul 13, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on July 13?$1.59Jul 13, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of July 13 2026?$1.51Jul 13, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of July 13 2026?$1.51Jul 13, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13?$2.14Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13?$2.05Jul 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $82.50 Week of July 13 2026?$1.83Jul 12, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $82.50 Week of July 13 2026?$2.01Jul 12, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on July 13?$1.52Jul 12, 20:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 22:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 06:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.