Quick-Witted-Thaw
0xa4a59f0ca51678d038dc817ab72ac36c4d750b14
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$13.23
Total PnL
$-15.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?
12 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$11.82
$0.26
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
7 shares @ 57.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Mamdani" or "AOC" during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$1.00Feb 9, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$7.25Feb 9, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?$11.56Feb 6, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$5.00Feb 6, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.06Feb 6, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?$2.33Feb 6, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?$3.13Feb 6, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?$2.00Nov 21, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?$3.00Nov 21, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.00Nov 21, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mamdani" or "AOC" during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?$1.00Nov 21, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?$1.00Nov 21, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Nov 21, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Gaza by October 17?$4.00Oct 14, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Houthi strike on Israel before July?$1.92Oct 14, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$0.18Oct 14, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMTrump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?$11.82Oct 14, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran by Friday?$7.85Jun 22, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran declare war on Israel by Friday?$10.25Jun 22, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS military action against Iran before July?$0.01Jun 22, 01:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 17:19 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 06:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.