Drafty-Sundae
0xa4a86c71e0f4bced161c7870a4404e945b2d62c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
120
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$8.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 120- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
5124 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-306.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
2154 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
2111 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-35.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
1608 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
1285 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
742 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
742 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?
722 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
600 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 2?
543 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$8.53Mar 15, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$7.81Mar 15, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu arrested by March 31?$0.42Mar 15, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Venezuela become 51st state?$4.12Mar 15, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?$2.05Mar 15, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLOdds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?$0.73Mar 15, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$5.76Mar 15, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?$3.27Mar 15, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$29.67Mar 14, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$11.67Mar 14, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$18.00Mar 14, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$41.67Mar 14, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$219.04Mar 14, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$41.66Mar 14, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$31.39Mar 14, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$100.58Mar 14, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$79.05Mar 13, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?$8.02Mar 7, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$80.80Mar 7, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$80.80Mar 7, 19:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $47.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 03:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 15:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".