Muted-Warmup
0xa4a89e462711a3929442547429eb41a0796b88dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.68
Realised
$0.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 800 or more times Jan 10-17?
170 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2025$0.00
$-0.22
- YES
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the Super Bowl?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
5 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
5 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.01Feb 3, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?$0.01Jan 25, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Francisco 49ers win the Super Bowl?$0.01Jan 18, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 800 or more times Jan 10-17?$0.01Jan 14, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 800 or more times Jan 10-17?$0.11Jan 14, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 800 or more times Jan 10-17?$0.10Jan 12, 16:46 UTC
- REWARD$0.21Jan 12, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 800 or more times Jan 10-17?$0.58Jan 11, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 800 or more times Jan 10-17?$0.26Jan 11, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 800 or more times Jan 10-17?$0.09Jan 11, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 800 or more times Jan 10-17?$0.29Jan 11, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 800 or more times Jan 10-17?$0.67Jan 11, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the December 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?$0.25Jan 10, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the December 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?$0.20Jan 10, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the December 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?$0.10Jan 10, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the December 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?$0.10Jan 10, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the December 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?$0.01Jan 10, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the December 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?$0.22Jan 10, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the December 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?$0.06Jan 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the December 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?$0.00Jan 10, 15:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $0.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 14:48 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 23:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.