0xa4abf3bef87ef3ac1b786b2243b95a7cb39c1e68
0xa4abf3bef87ef3ac1b786b2243b95a7cb39c1e68
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 54 ETH on December 22, 2021?
117 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- YES
NFL: Will the Dolphins beat the Jets by more than 9.5 points in their December 19 matchup?
58 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- YES
NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Kings by more than 1.5 points in their December 29 matchup?
57 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will 'The Matrix Resurrections' get a 75% or higher Critic Tomatometer Score?
37 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- KAST
Who will win the 2021 Chilean presidential elections?
9 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 17th be higher than the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 10th?
4 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Derek Carr have the most passing yards in the 2021 NFL season on December 25?
3 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- NO
NBA: Will the Bulls beat the Pacers by more than 6.5 points in their December 26 matchup?
3 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will 'The Matrix Resurrections' get a 85% or higher Critic Tomatometer Score?
3 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 90 ETH on December 23, 2021?
2 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2021$0.00
$0.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.