Crisp-Census
0xa4ad0fb4beb8ccc57fd364426ff9ae82ac17ff75
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$160.73
Total PnL
$-35.97
Realised
$-13.13
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 4?
334 shares @ 4.9¢·now 5.1¢·exp May 4, 2026$16.87
$0.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 4?
35 shares @ 32.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$15.75
$4.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 4?
37 shares @ 41.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$15.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 4?
36 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$14.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 4?
43 shares @ 35.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$14.68
$-0.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 4?
27 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$13.23
$0.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 4?
30 shares @ 42.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$12.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 4?
71 shares @ 11.9¢·now 11.2¢·exp May 4, 2026$7.87
$-0.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 4?
27 shares @ 29.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$6.89
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C or higher on May 4?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$5.27
$0.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 4?$0.251h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 4?$0.961h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 4?$5.731h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 4?$0.601h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 4?$11.561h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 4?$0.831h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 4?$3.601h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 4?$13.861h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?$1.821h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 4?$4.151h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 4?$1.321h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 4?$7.011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C or higher on May 4?$0.391h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 4?$0.251h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 4?$0.401h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 4?$7.471h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?$2.531h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on May 4?$4.441h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on May 4?$3.881h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?$5.521h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2h ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".