0xa4affc210adbcedff0485f6760b10da9e36f48bd
0xa4affc210adbcedff0485f6760b10da9e36f48bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
323644 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2024$0.00
$-8.2K
- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
229483 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
108408 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
103624 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
60787 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will Mark Cuban be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?
22525 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-677.71
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
20775 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1000.00Mar 13, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$383.00Mar 9, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$300.00Feb 10, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$22.97Feb 10, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$130.25Feb 6, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$766.68Feb 6, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$3.06Feb 6, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$500.00Feb 6, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$500.00Feb 6, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$500.00Feb 6, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$500.00Feb 3, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.03Feb 3, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$9.69Feb 3, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$23.86Feb 3, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$200.00Feb 3, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$200.00Feb 3, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$500.00Feb 3, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$300.00Feb 3, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.29Feb 2, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$17.00Feb 2, 14:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $246.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 17:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 16:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".