Sad-Twilight
0xa4b9f150823d0930994272ad5ba8ed722c17bb50
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-12.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?
4284 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-299.87
- YES
Will Trump win 3 swing states?
3139 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-283.99
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
2500 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Trump win 2 swing states?
2454 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-242.52
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House
2000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska US Senate Election?
1897 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-312.84
- YES
Will a Democrat win Texas US Senate Election?
1846 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-328.08
- YES
Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?
1765 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-300.05
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House
1686 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-296.86
- YES
Will a Democrat win Montana US Senate Election?
1631 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-309.89
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.45Nov 6, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?$0.08Nov 5, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 2 swing states?$79.92Nov 5, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Montana US Senate Election?$60.04Nov 5, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Montana US Senate Election?$99.94Nov 5, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 3 swing states?$36.35Nov 5, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 2 swing states?$7.26Nov 5, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 2 swing states?$2.00Nov 5, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 2 swing states?$7.26Nov 5, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Nebraska US Senate Election?$274.76Nov 5, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Montana US Senate Election?$149.91Nov 5, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 3 swing states?$1.80Nov 5, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 2 swing states?$1.80Nov 5, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 2 swing states?$3.55Nov 5, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 3 swing states?$3.55Nov 5, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 2 swing states?$1.80Nov 5, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 3 swing states?$1.80Nov 5, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 3 swing states?$1.80Nov 5, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 2 swing states?$5.29Nov 5, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 2 swing states?$1.80Nov 5, 18:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $53.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 18:04 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".