Composed-Embellishment
0xa4bc3bbdac29e51c0c4f8485cd15e36d7478026c
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$7.3K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-387.97
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
3489 shares @ 92.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.3K
$41.85
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
2186 shares @ 66.3¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.5K
$36.99
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
800 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$692.00
$20.00
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
567 shares @ 83.5¢·now 98.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$558.05
$84.06
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
2038 shares @ 44.3¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$336.20
$-565.69
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
2300 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$195.50
$-4.50
- NO
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
146 shares @ 68.6¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.66
$-2.34
- YES
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?
132 shares @ 63.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$94.84
$11.84
- NO
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
100 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$92.50
$7.50
- YES
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
300 shares @ 27.3¢·now 25.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$76.50
$-5.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.75Jun 13, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.40Jun 13, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$153.85Jun 13, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$152.00Jun 13, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$42.67Jun 13, 00:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.91Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$93.09Jun 12, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$24.32Jun 12, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$38.29Jun 12, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$149.72Jun 12, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$40.28Jun 12, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$29.70Jun 12, 17:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?$11.75Jun 11, 09:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$32.00Jun 10, 12:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$7.62Jun 9, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$200.00Jun 9, 14:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $153.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 07:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.