Demanding-Commitment
0xa4bdc783badf9d1a042c2c19cb145b8ad7919340
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.13
Total PnL
$-11.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4264 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.13
$-6.40
- RED SOX
Angels vs. Red Sox
9996 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.9K
- PABLO CARRENO BUSTA
Alicante: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
9985 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.2K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 6?
7196 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 6?
5824 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.82
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.15
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.10May 27, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.11May 26, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.10May 25, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.10May 24, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.10May 20, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.11May 19, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 5, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 4, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 08:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".