Muddy-Avalanche
0xa4c514299f439c0963f72927f6cece66487f2420
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$45.51
Total PnL
$-250.43
Realised
$7.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 14?
46 shares @ 67.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$45.51
$14.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 30?
218 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-61.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 5?
79 shares @ 39.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-31.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 6?
61 shares @ 43.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-26.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 11?
57 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-18.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 8?
54 shares @ 46.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?
50 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 3?
49 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-22.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 9?
47 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-14.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 7?
44 shares @ 43.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-19.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 14?$1.86Jun 14, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 14?$29.71Jun 14, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?$11.90Jun 13, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?$11.10Jun 13, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 13?$15.60Jun 13, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 13?$63.72Jun 13, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 13?$19.02Jun 13, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 13?$4.66Jun 13, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 13?$10.16Jun 13, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 13?$15.77Jun 13, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 13?$4.07Jun 13, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 13?$3.60Jun 13, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 13?$6.68Jun 13, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 13?$3.50Jun 13, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 12?$46.34Jun 12, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 12?$0.96Jun 12, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 12?$0.96Jun 12, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 12?$22.98Jun 12, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 12?$1.78Jun 12, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 12?$1.76Jun 12, 22:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $11.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 14:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 01:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.