Wallet digest

active

Activity score

79/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$414.99

Total PnL

$-12.09

Realised

$0.04

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 13

NO
Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
110 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$110.03
$1.57
NO
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
110 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028
$109.17
$0.05
NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
90 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026
$90.07
$4.03
NO
Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
90 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025
$90.00
$0.45
NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
16 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$15.72
$0.44
NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $180 end of November?
224 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025
$0.00
$-1.12
YES
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 15-21?
212 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-5.67
YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 56°F or higher on March 29?
194 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026
$0.00
$-1.80
YES
Will Evelyn Matthei come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
150 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025
$0.00
$-3.45
YES
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?
140 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026
$0.00
$-1.54

Recent activity

YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 21, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 20, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:16 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:15 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity44 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry0 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk63 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 3
Avg trade size: $101.76
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 20, 00:13 UTC
Last active: Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 07:58:50 UTC·src:Polymarket Data