Stark-Cue
0xa4c653bf5627f462e7cf816e716328558b492f27
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$415.43
Total PnL
$-11.65
Realised
$0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
110 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$110.03
$1.57
- NO
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
110 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$109.61
$0.49
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
90 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$90.07
$4.03
- NO
Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
90 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$90.00
$0.45
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
16 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.72
$0.44
- NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $180 end of November?
224 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 15-21?
212 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 56°F or higher on March 29?
194 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Evelyn Matthei come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
150 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.45
- YES
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?
140 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.