Infantile-Choosing
0xa4d318d4eb0ad120bca28cea5942f6300981c08a
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$15.7K
Total PnL
$14.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
9270 shares @ 52.9¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.6K
$1.7K
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
4001 shares @ 75.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.3K
$340.60
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?
4113 shares @ 67.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.2K
$473.05
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
2395 shares @ 83.5¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.2K
$155.11
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
734 shares @ 54.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$392.67
$-3.67
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 3?
2800 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 June 29-July 5?
1250 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.30Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $633.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 08:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.