Exalted-Operation
0xa4d7581985a25fae820f829b4fd7aaaa097fc45c
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
511 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-9.19
- YES
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 29?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$6.11Mar 24, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$14.19Mar 24, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$101.64Mar 24, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$12.11Mar 24, 05:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 24, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 23, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 22, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 21, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 20, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 19, 00:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 18, 01:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 17, 00:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 16, 00:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 15, 01:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 14, 00:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 13, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 12, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 11, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 10, 00:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 9, 00:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $54.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 00:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 06:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.