Threadbare-Distribution
0xa4dab08848c711c8c923d425afb1573196daf756
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.9K
Realised
$-1.4K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
6588 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 12-18?
4889 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-249.71
- NO
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
3244 shares @ 96.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.1K
- NO
Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?
1480 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-741.02
- YES
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?
804 shares @ 86.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-692.99
- NO
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 15, 2026?
663 shares @ 69.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-460.08
- NO
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
637 shares @ 78.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-501.15
- NO
Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by November 30?
167 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-118.59
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$921.24Mar 10, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$67.39Mar 10, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$41.75Mar 10, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$82.20Mar 10, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$0.24Mar 10, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$102.00Mar 10, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$4.02Mar 10, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$10.08Mar 10, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$136.91Mar 10, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$271.81Mar 10, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$1.62Mar 10, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$231.25Mar 10, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$27.60Mar 10, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$5.28Mar 10, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$1.5KMar 10, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$33.00Mar 10, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$39.60Mar 10, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?$3.52Mar 10, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$124.00Mar 10, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$6.48Mar 10, 09:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $424.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 17:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 12:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.