Legal-Ceremony
0xa4dc711f1384e8480c5daf1d7f866829f6eca504
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$185.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- DOWN
Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 29?
9274 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-90.73
- CELTICS
Celtics vs. Nuggets
1700 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-850.19
- JD GAMING
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
1644 shares @ 58.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-959.51
- YES
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-29?
1119 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-335.79
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?
1011 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
963 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-46.64
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?
739 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-480.55
- YES
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-03-03?
714 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-241.57
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
459 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will CA Unión win on 2026-02-06?
420 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-99.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$46.64Mar 16, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$50.00Mar 16, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?$480.55Mar 7, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-07?$480.55Mar 7, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-07?$428.02Mar 7, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$0.34Mar 7, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$427.68Mar 7, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$240.68Mar 6, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$0.95Mar 6, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Botafogo FR win on 2026-03-03?$241.57Mar 3, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: DashSkins vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage$4.81Mar 2, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$4.81Mar 2, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$96.26Mar 1, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Nuggets$850.19Feb 26, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona SC win on 2026-02-25?$793.11Feb 26, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona SC win on 2026-02-25?$269.48Feb 26, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Unión win on 2026-02-06?$99.73Feb 7, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-02-06?$99.73Feb 7, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-02-06?$61.63Feb 6, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AD Pasto win on 2026-02-06?$66.36Feb 6, 22:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $210.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 13:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 00:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".