Separate-Daylight
0xa4e0b1a154ba6702ae519a79044344b8eb396392
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
87
Open notional
$949.21
Total PnL
$-500.92
Realised
$172.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
208 shares @ 21.1¢·now 76.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$159.85
$116.01
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
118 shares @ 68.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.06
$17.06
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
147 shares @ 34.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$75.74
$25.74
- YES
Will Trump say "Big League" or "Bigly" in June?
86 shares @ 81.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$60.88
$-9.12
- YES
Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference?
66 shares @ 76.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$47.04
$-2.96
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
51 shares @ 78.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$46.41
$6.41
- YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
70 shares @ 61.3¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.33
$1.54
- YES
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
62 shares @ 73.7¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$44.30
$-1.70
- YES
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.40
$8.40
- YES
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?
45 shares @ 66.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$33.86
$3.86
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?$20.00Jun 13, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13?$35.81Jun 13, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Subscriber" during his next YouTube video?$15.11Jun 13, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?$41.94Jun 13, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 13?$20.39Jun 13, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13?$10.28Jun 13, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 13?$10.32Jun 13, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$29.06Jun 13, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$32.76Jun 13, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13?$20.63Jun 13, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%?$1.03Jun 13, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on June 13?$5.21Jun 13, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13?$15.44Jun 13, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13?$15.42Jun 13, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?$13.23Jun 13, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13?$10.24Jun 13, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13?$10.30Jun 13, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?$20.49Jun 13, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?$20.52Jun 13, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?$20.37Jun 13, 03:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $18.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 16:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.