Jumbo-Many
0xa4e87e943df343688d7404a46fd1b7029167ba9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$9.11
Total PnL
$-180.51
Realised
$-6.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.05
$1.05
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 9.4¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.11
$0.23
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.95
$0.05
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
638 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-155.04
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
178 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.10
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on October 22?
20 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-8.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.93Jun 5, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.96Jun 5, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.12Jun 5, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$7.33Jun 4, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.00May 19, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$0.00May 19, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.02Jan 8, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$16.00Dec 17, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$17.00Dec 17, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$20.00Dec 17, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.47Dec 17, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$0.19Dec 17, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$0.34Dec 17, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$21.00Dec 16, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$20.07Dec 15, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.22Dec 15, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.71Dec 15, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$18.00Dec 11, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$120.00Dec 11, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$0.00Dec 11, 05:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $19.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 14:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 06:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.