Notable-Radiosonde
0xa4efef17eaf472833c0450556a1f314fbf19ea48
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-75.55
Realised
$6.76
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 7AM ET
121 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-8.31
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 25?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 24?
89 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 25?
87 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
67 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 25?
53 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
28 shares @ 36.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
21 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
20 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.04Nov 14, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.00Nov 14, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$0.41Nov 1, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?$3.00Nov 1, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?$1.00Oct 25, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 25?$1.00Oct 25, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 25?$1.00Oct 25, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 25?$1.00Oct 25, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 25?$12.00Oct 24, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.39Oct 24, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$2.50Oct 24, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 24?$5.00Oct 24, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 24?$5.00Oct 24, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 24?$5.00Oct 24, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$10.00Oct 24, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.00Oct 24, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?$1.00Oct 24, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$19.21Oct 24, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$20.00Oct 24, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$10.08Oct 24, 15:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 11:59 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 14, 17:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".