Which-Gaffe
0xa4f3b3593ef81d08b7278c02554b796bba5d676d
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$6.17
Total PnL
$-93.55
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.5¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.09
$-0.03
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$-0.02
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 12?
4240 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.48
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 19?
1130 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.78
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 17?
1120 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.72
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 3?
1108 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 2?
1105 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 28?
1103 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 1?
1102 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 16?
1086 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 28?$1.1KMay 28, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 28?$1.1KMay 28, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 27?$1.1KMay 27, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 27?$1.1KMay 27, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 26?$1.1KMay 26, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 26?$1.1KMay 26, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 25?$1.1KMay 25, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 25?$1.1KMay 25, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 24?$1.1KMay 25, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 24?$1.0KMay 24, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 20?$2.12May 20, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 on May 11?$2.13May 12, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 5?$2.12May 5, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.12May 4, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?$3.21Apr 26, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 18?$2.17Apr 17, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 4?$2.12Apr 4, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 31?$1.1KApr 1, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 31?$1.1KMar 31, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 30?$1.1KMar 31, 03:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $501.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 10:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 23:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".