Wavy-Trafficker
0xa4f4a97e55dcb5ead02f2552ba812b295cc1d132
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$144.61
Total PnL
$-582.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
5724 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$94.44
$44.44
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
372 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$50.17
$1.86
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
33333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?
1977 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
1045 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?
833 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 1?
665 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 5?
587 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?
380 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.