Meager-Bayou
0xa4f5d9bdae6c3e79ecb7fece3c68130b0333cad1
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$420.66
Total PnL
$-29.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
214 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$213.68
$13.68
- YES
Will VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
105 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$105.37
$5.37
- YES
Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
102 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$101.62
$1.62
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
71 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?$210.54Dec 29, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$411.58Dec 29, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$204.08Dec 7, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?$200.00Nov 10, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$200.00Nov 10, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$211.64Nov 9, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$100.00Oct 30, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$100.00Oct 30, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$200.00Oct 30, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$200.00Oct 30, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$200.00Oct 30, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$204.29Oct 30, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$255.62Oct 30, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$525.27Oct 30, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$203.91Oct 29, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$250.00Oct 20, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$300.00Oct 20, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$200.00Oct 15, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$200.00Oct 15, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$200.00Oct 15, 07:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $174.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 16, 09:38 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 29, 12:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.