Rigid-Legislation
0xa4f8010c9fc343edf4fcafcb5d529b7106ea47aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
117
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$5.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 117- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on August 22?
913 shares @ 34.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-312.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120K and $122K on August 18?
600 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $120K on August 18?
591 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-260.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?
408 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- AVATAR
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?
337 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-49.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $113K and $115K on August 11?
306 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-56.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on October 4?
300 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 11?
300 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-96.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on September 20?
300 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-95.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 19?$1.00Mar 18, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$1.13Feb 19, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$3.84Feb 19, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$4.45Feb 19, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$6.18Feb 19, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$5.00Feb 19, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$2.00Feb 19, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$2.00Feb 19, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$2.00Feb 18, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$3.00Feb 18, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$2.00Feb 18, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$2.00Feb 18, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$2.00Feb 17, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$2.00Feb 17, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$3.58Feb 16, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$2.00Feb 16, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$2.90Feb 16, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$3.40Feb 16, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$2.00Feb 16, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$3.34Feb 16, 13:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $6.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 06:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 17:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".