Foolhardy-Likelihood
0xa4f92da92a0d7c5e0af8842263f25fddcf70b977
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-82.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 20?
216 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.35 on March 23?
143 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 25?
133 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 12?
121 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.16
- RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Iowa Hawkeyes
108 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.53
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 22?
101 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on April 3?
93 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.21
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 14?
89 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $123 Week of April 13 2026?
84 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 29?
83 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 1?$126.40Jun 1, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 1?$123.24May 31, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 27?$2.37May 26, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?$118.64May 23, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?$115.67May 23, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 20?$1.16May 19, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 19?$1.41May 18, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 15?$130.77May 15, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 15?$129.20May 14, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $135 Week of March 30 2026?$9.17May 14, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 9?$1.20May 8, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$29.28May 8, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 28?$95.36May 1, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 28?$92.69Apr 27, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 14?$102.57Apr 25, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 19?$1.90Apr 19, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $123 Week of April 13 2026?$1.67Apr 17, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.73Apr 16, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 14?$101.03Apr 13, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on April 6?$103.34Apr 13, 20:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $36.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 17:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 19:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".