Austere-Bail
0xa4fcd42731853ed3711aac964a14f442b1f6977d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$615.0K
Total PnL
$-9.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
600000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 84.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$504.9K
$204.9K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
600000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$95.1K
$-204.9K
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
14431 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$14.2K
$50.51
- DOWN
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on June 5?
704 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$703.34
$0.39
- DOWN
NYA (NYA) Up or Down on June 5?
137 shares @ 98.8¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$74.80
$-60.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close at $315-$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?$10.00Jun 5, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?$11.06Jun 5, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?$13.06Jun 5, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 1 above $335?$14.20Jun 5, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $420-$425 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?$15.00Jun 5, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $430-$435 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?$15.00Jun 5, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on June 5?$17.55Jun 5, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of June 1 above $2.00?$19.00Jun 5, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) finish week of June 1 above $600?$20.00Jun 5, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close at $600-$610 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?$20.00Jun 5, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close at $410-$415 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?$21.66Jun 5, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 1 above $285?$24.51Jun 5, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $435-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?$25.00Jun 5, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?$31.00Jun 5, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close at $400-$405 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?$31.45Jun 5, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 1 above $405?$31.98Jun 5, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $460-$470 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?$32.00Jun 5, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on June 5?$34.93Jun 5, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close at $290-$295 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?$35.76Jun 5, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $450-$460 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?$37.00Jun 5, 21:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 21:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".