Idealistic-Democrat
0xa4fd5737a7091ac0948416a3254add2ff26eb6e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$18.30
Total PnL
$-519.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 3?
18 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$18.30
$1.10
- NO
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?
317 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-225.00
- YES
Will Sorry Baby be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
246 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.13
- YES
Will Janicza Bravo - The Bear win Best Director for a Comedy Series at the 78th DGA Awards?
245 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.87
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $260-$265 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?
240 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.49
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 16 above $340?
231 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.33
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 17?
224 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.08
- YES
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
211 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 5?
208 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-11.47
- YES
Will a contestant numbered 176 - 200 win Beast Games: Season 2?
184 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 3?$17.27May 29, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $355-$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?$347.32Apr 20, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close at $185-$190 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$258.55Apr 20, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $355-$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?$302.17Apr 5, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMFortaleza CEIF vs. AD Pasto: O/U 3.5$344.90Apr 5, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close at $185-$190 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$232.69Mar 23, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Louis City SC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 1.5$288.83Mar 22, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFortaleza CEIF vs. AD Pasto: O/U 3.5$272.47Mar 22, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMCF Estrela da Amadora vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 3.5$213.94Mar 21, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCF Estrela da Amadora vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 3.5$53.48Mar 17, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis City SC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 1.5$222.40Mar 17, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mom" be said at the Oscars?$343.96Mar 17, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?$225.00Mar 7, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mom" be said at the Oscars?$299.25Mar 6, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 21 be less than 1,800,000?$136.41Feb 23, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bolivia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$252.60Feb 22, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 16 above $205?$127.02Feb 22, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a contestant numbered 176 - 200 win Beast Games: Season 2?$5.14Feb 21, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 21 be less than 1,800,000?$133.55Feb 21, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Binyu Yang (CHN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$3.42Feb 21, 04:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $103.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 17:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 09:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".