Bitter-Philosophy
0xa4ff6a7a23b1a9c47475dad0784d093ec42e10f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$23.02
Total PnL
$-108.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
11 shares @ 90.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$11.09
$1.09
- NO
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" during Ukraine President events on December 28?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.25
$1.25
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.68
$0.68
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
417 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12PM ET
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-0.62
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?$4.86Dec 28, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?$5.00Dec 28, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.13Dec 28, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?$1.97Dec 28, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "dictator" during Ukraine President events on December 28?$5.00Dec 28, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?$5.00Dec 28, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?$5.00Dec 28, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$9.88Dec 28, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out in 2025?$5.03Dec 28, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Dec 28, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Dec 28, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?$5.00Dec 26, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$5.00Dec 26, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$0.10Dec 26, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 20?$1.00Dec 26, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.13Dec 26, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.23Dec 26, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$1.96Dec 26, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?$2.00Dec 26, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$5.00Dec 26, 14:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 3, 20:41 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 28, 14:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.