Rigid-Hose
0xa500af3aab20069cbf086447b61384d6c4ba715b
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$57.65
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
16 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$15.96
$0.96
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?
11 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$10.60
$0.60
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
11 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$10.54
$0.54
- NO
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.34
$0.34
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?
10 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$10.21
$0.21
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
3000 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-344.99
- NETS
Lakers vs. Nets
2920 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-700.81
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
2301 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-575.25
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
1050 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-73.50
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
870 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 30 days or more?$10.00Feb 14, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 14, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 10 days or more?$10.00Feb 14, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 14 days or more?$10.00Feb 14, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$15.00Feb 14, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$10.01Feb 14, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown last 30 days or more?$13.88Feb 14, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Nets$163.92Feb 3, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Nets$63.33Feb 3, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Nets$0.47Feb 3, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Nets$0.32Feb 3, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Nets$2.16Feb 3, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Nets$4.32Feb 3, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Nets$0.48Feb 3, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Nets$0.63Feb 3, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Nets$60.87Feb 3, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Nets$39.49Feb 3, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Nets$364.82Feb 3, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Grizzlies$300.00Feb 3, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Grizzlies$96.00Feb 2, 21:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $36.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 17:06 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 01:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".