Joyful-Design
0xa503486f70e96ffc26bfca907e0fc4ea57da1f64
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-31.77
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 11, 2026?
6970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.97
- NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
5110 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.11
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
2801 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?
698 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
434 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $660b and $670b on January 31?
267 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-90.29
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
246 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10PM ET
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8AM ET
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.00Jun 2, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$17.54Jun 2, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$13.80Mar 27, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$10.00Mar 27, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - March 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$23.84Mar 27, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$13.31Mar 27, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$13.45Mar 27, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$18.51Mar 27, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$18.80Mar 27, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$20.80Mar 27, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$10.00Mar 27, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$12.00Mar 27, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3AM ET$42.80Mar 27, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3AM ET$8.64Mar 27, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3AM ET$8.73Mar 27, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3AM ET$10.49Mar 27, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3AM ET$14.00Mar 27, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $660b and $670b on January 31?$60.94Jan 31, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $660b and $670b on January 31?$5.00Jan 31, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$63.70Jan 30, 22:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $16.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 21:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 12:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.